Thinking in ThreadsPublic debt research · RQ3

Data as at 31 December 2025 · Research and citation review completed 4 October 2026

When does Barbados’s debt
have to be paid?

The budget provides for a one-third rise in principal repayments over three years. The nearest large identified domestic bullet repayment is BOSS Plus I in August 2027. The USD500m 2035 note begins principal repayment in December 2030; the longest restructured maturity reaches 2068. S2 S3

BBD198.5mBOSS Plus I · 31 August 2027
Outstanding as at 31 December 2025 · S2
December 2030First USD50m principal instalment
2035 note terms · S3
2068Series G’s final maturity
31 December 2025 snapshot · S2
01

Why this matters for citizens

Interest on government debt is projected at about BBD708m in FY2026/27, roughly one dollar in every seven of government revenue. That leaves less room for public services and investment. [C, S1 Table 2a]

Barbadians are also lenders to government. BOSS Plus bonds are sold to individuals as well as institutions, and BOSS Plus I’s BBD198.5m falls due in August 2027. [R, S2, S18] The National Insurance scheme was the main subscriber to the BBD250m 2044 debenture issued in FY2024/25; this describes subscriptions at issue, not holdings today. [R, S28] Bond payments contribute to the assets and income supporting pensions. Depositors also have an indirect link through banks and credit unions that invest in government securities. [I]

Foreign-currency repayments, including the 2035 note’s instalments from December 2030, require foreign exchange. Financing them matters for the reserves that support the Barbados dollar’s peg. [R and I, S1, S3] After a qualifying hurricane or pandemic, some bond contracts allow government to defer payments, giving the budget breathing room subject to their conditions. [R and I, S3, S21]

A maturity is a date when money is owed, not a sign of trouble. A maturity may be met by issuing new debt rather than repaid from taxes. Knowing what falls due, who holds it and how it is financed helps citizens ask clearer questions about their taxes and savings.

02

The dated stock · as at 31 December 2025

One stock. Two different views.

An amortising bond repays principal before its final maturity. Switch views to see the difference. Neither view establishes what is outstanding today or which historical payments have been made.

Choose the measure

BBD millions · calendar years · as at 31 December 2025. Select a year for instrument detail. Bars use one common scale within the selected view and horizon.

Balances without dated payments

These balances stay outside the dated bars. They are not assumed to be zero, repaid, or spread equally across years.

Principal-timing buckets and exact reconciliation

As at 31 December 2025 · BBD millions. The columns are distinct evidence methods; final-maturity stock is not added here.

Bucket from 31 December 2025Terms supportedConditional strip modelShort-term classification
Within 1 year · to Dec 2026130.515250.3931,158.531
Over 1–3 years · to Dec 2028306.582548.9100.000
Over 3–5 years · to Dec 2030132.869591.0810.000
Over 5–10 years · to Dec 2035951.3001,021.3390.000
Beyond 10 years · after Dec 2035273.0901,056.4230.000

Allocated: BBD1,794.356m terms supported; BBD3,468.145m conditional model; BBD1,158.531m short-term classification. Unallocated principal: BBD8,495.208m. Separate rounding residual: BBD0. Together they reconcile to BBD14,916,239,137, across 169 unique instrument rows. Tolerance is ±BBD10 for printed-row rounding only; no residual is distributed into buckets. S2

Within one year, dated principal plus short-term stock gives BBD1,289.046m (8.6%). Including the conditional model gives BBD1,539.439m (10.3%). These are partial principal-timing estimates, not cash-settlement bounds. The alternative one-year final-maturity classification is BBD1,416.198m (9.5%); it excludes earlier amortisation. All three use the 31 December 2025 stock.

How much can be timed?

Share of central-government debt as at 31 December 2025

  • 12.0% terms supported
  • 23.3% conditional
  • 7.8% short term
  • 57.0% unallocated

Rounded independently; displayed shares total 100.1%. S2 · calculated

03

Separate projections · fiscal years run April to March

The budget’s repayments are rising

Budgeted principal rises from BBD781.8m in FY2026/27 to BBD1,046.7m in FY2028/29: 33.9%. Domestic principal rises 35.2%; external principal rises 31.9%. These provisions include future financing assumptions. They are not a calendar for the fixed December 2025 stock. S2 · calculated

Domestic principalExternal principal
Budget table · FY2026/27–FY2028/29

BBD millions · Revised Draft Estimates 2026–2027, Head 19 Treasury · S2

Fiscal yearDomestic principalExternal principalTotal principalInterest
FY2026/27478.9302.8781.8714.6
FY2027/28563.9347.0910.8696.0
FY2028/29647.3399.41,046.7710.3

Treasury-bill and ways-and-means principal is absent from these amortisation lines. Absence from the budget does not mean zero contractual redemptions. Principal plus interest is distinct from recurrent debt service and loan expenses. S2

What drives the increase—and what remains unresolved?

Debentures and Treasury notes (programme 0116) account for 89.1% of the domestic net increase; IFI loans account for 96.2% of the external increase. The BAICO BBD23.3m bullet on 2 April 2028 matches the final year’s separate BAICO provision. S2 · calculated

After conditionally subtracting BOSS Plus I and the two 4.25% Treasury Notes from 0116, the remainder rises BBD271.1m in FY2028/29. This arithmetic does not establish where those instruments are budgeted. BOSS Plus II cohorts, other instruments, future borrowing assumptions and Series H’s gross accounting treatment remain to be traced.

Series H’s September 2023 strip was renewed for five years at 6%, explaining the duplicated September 2028 date. A gross redemption and reissue could enter budget principal, but the aggregate approved-versus-actual difference does not identify its treatment. S24 S25 S26 S27

The IMF’s external-principal projection

This is a separate series from the June 2026 IMF report. Overlapping budget and IMF external-principal projections differ by about 1–5.5%; both may draw on government inputs. That is a consistency check across vintages, not independent validation. S1 S2

IMF table · FY2026/27–FY2031/32

BBD millions · June 2026 IMF report, Table 2a p 37 · S1. Interest covers all central-government debt and is not added to external principal.

Fiscal yearExternal principalInterest on all debt
FY2026/27299708
FY2027/28329717
FY2028/29413764
FY2029/30428773
FY2030/31497780
FY2031/32528787

The IMF reports SDR78m in repurchases prepaid through March 2028. This helps explain lower near-term Fund obligations; it does not provide an exact bridge between report vintages. S1 paragraph 46.

04

Reading the dates correctly

Contractually maturing, rolled by design

Series H is subject to perpetual-rollover terms. BBD165.776m of the 31 December 2025 stock matures in September 2028. Its final-maturity bar is hatched; it is outside the scheduled-principal allocation because cash settlement is unverified. S2 S24 S25

Legacy restructured bills were designed to roll every 90 days. Their current component is not separately identified within the BBD951.351m bill stock at 31 December 2025. The historical BBD495m figure is not deducted from it. S10

BOSS Plus II and III have cohorts

The 31 December 2025 balances are BBD196.418m and BBD199.599m. Staggered five-year bullets start in June 2028 and June 2030 respectively. Cohort amounts are unavailable, so neither whole balance is placed into that first year. S2 notes 11–12.

The old 2029 bond has a dated residual

BBD119.476m outstanding at 31 December 2025 equals USD59.738m at the peg. It is consistent with the October 2025 instalment having been paid on schedule; it is not a payment record. The remaining reconstructed schedule assumes original pro-rata amortisation continues. Subsequent balances and payments remain unverified. S2 S12 S16

Final maturity is only the last payment

The BBD 4.25% Treasury Note ending in November 2026 has four remaining BBD12.5m instalments in the December 2025 reconstruction. FY2026/27 captures only three, totalling BBD37.5m. The 2035 external note similarly spreads USD500m across ten USD50m principal instalments from December 2030 to June 2035. S14 S3

05

169 rows · central government · as at 31 December 2025

The instrument inventory

Every reported balance is retained, including those without enough terms to allocate principal. Select a row for its method, source page and qualifications. Foreign-currency balances retain Appendix C’s BBD valuation; obligations are legally owed in their original currency.

Instrument and evidenceBBD m
31 Dec 2025
Original currencyFinal maturity
Category reconciliation and scope
Reported categoryBBD · 31 December 2025
Local notes and restructured bond series6,424,528,412
External bonds due 2029 and 20351,119,476,000
Government savings bonds17,757,500
Treasury bills951,350,750
Tax refund certificates63,350
Temporary borrowings207,180,000
BAICO bonds100,690,000
BOSS Plus I II and III594,560,400
Special Loans Act facilities1,426,049,988
BAMC liability taken over575,250
Caribbean Development Bank330,642,500
Inter American Development Bank1,938,677,261
CAF504,295,181
World Bank436,299,292
IMF Extended Fund Facility473,655,467
IMF Resilience and Sustainability Trust390,437,786
Total central-government debt14,916,239,137
Difference from reported total0

Guarantees of BBD72.0m and arrears of BBD178.5m are separate. They bring Appendix C’s public-debt total to BBD15,166.7m, but do not enter this central-government ladder. S2 PDF pp 780–781.

06

What needs confirmation

These five claims remain exposed to review because their answers change the calendar or its meaning. They are retained from the signed-off brief.

1. The FY2028/29 remainder increases by BBD271.1m

We cannot yet match every bond repayment to a budget line.

Compare FY2022/23–FY2024/25 0116 actuals after netting buybacks, prepayments and scheduled changes. Trace the September 2023 H reissue on the financing side. Both tests require instrument detail; neither the aggregate nor narrative omission establishes treatment. Map BOSS Plus II cohorts and future financing assumptions.

2. The provisional strip cashflow model reflects remaining obligations

Some repayment dates still depend on assumptions that need checking.

Verify each B/C/D strip allocation after prepayments, the D payment-date discrepancy, and loan instalment amounts; keep unallocated stock visible.

3. BBD1,416.2m or 9.5% of December stock is classified within one year

Short-term debt does not tell us how much government must settle in cash.

Verify exact bill allotments and ways-and-means terms, legacy rolled-bill inclusion and the same-date IMF breakdown. This is not the complete cash-flow share or the cash repayment budget.

4. The 2029 residual continues on its original schedule

The December balance fits the old schedule; later payments still need verification.

Match trustee payment records after December 2025 and reconcile the BBD1.465m annual budget principal difference.

5. A usable current instrument dataset was not found

The balances are published in annual PDFs, but a maintained payment dataset was not found.

Find later instrument snapshots or a structured payment dataset; test the annual appendix updates without inferring intent from format.

Published, but difficult to keep current

Instrument balances and repayment detail appear in annual budget appendices on Parliament’s website. The finding concerns dated PDF publication that requires extraction and reconciliation. A maintained payment dataset was not located in the reviewed sources. Format alone does not establish a decision to withhold data. S2 S19 S22

Both annual appendices update balances alongside repeated contractual terms. BOSS Plus II’s description changes from a single June 2028 bullet to staggered payments. The latest instrument snapshot located in this review was dated December 2025.

07

Take the evidence with you

Reviewed edition v6.2 · research completed 4 October 2026. The repayment data are unchanged from the substantive sign-off; the final passes corrected citation placement and clarified labels and open questions. The source artifact filenames retain v6.

The ZIP contains the research JSON with unchanged repayment data, inventory and dated-flow CSVs, a data dictionary and reading notes. Principal only; budget, IMF, historical cash-flow and final-maturity views are not summed.

08

Sources and evidence conventions

R is reported evidence; C is a calculation; I is an inference. “Conditional” identifies a model that needs issuer confirmation. “Unavailable” means the reviewed material does not establish the amount or timing.

  1. S1 Barbados 2026 IMF Country Report 26/155

    Table 2a p 37; Table 3 p 39; Annex II Table 2 p 57; paragraphs 11 23 24 39 and 46

  2. S2 Revised Draft Estimates 2026–2027

    Head 19 Treasury, programme 111, printed pp 430–432; summary Table 8; Appendix C PDF pp 769–783, statement dated 31 December 2025

  3. S3 Senate Minutes 25 June 2025

    Approved USD500 million note terms, printed p 3

  4. S4 CBB Review January–June 2025

    Debt and Financing p 15; Annex 2 pp 26–27

  5. S5 CBB USD Treasury Note 2026 offer

    28 May 2025 announcement

  6. S6 CBB Treasury Bills Issue 1042

    27 August 2026 notice

  7. S7 CBB Debenture 2045 offer

    19 December 2025 announcement

  8. S8 CBB Debenture 2044 offer

    27 November 2024 announcement

  9. S9 CBB and BSE Tradeable Bonds FAQ

    PDF p 5 links to original cashflow templates

  10. S10 Medium Term Debt Strategy 2024/25–2026/27

    Table 2 pp 13–14; redemption profile pp 15–16

  11. S11 Banco Santander export finance resolution

    Schedule pp 3–4; bill archive 919 shows House passage 29 May 2026, Senate stage

  12. S12 Government final tender results 23 June 2025

    Final Results and footnotes; announcement conditional on settlement

  13. S13 CBB Series B early repayments

    21 April 2023 announcement

  14. S14 CBB Treasury Note 202101 official prospectus

    PDF pp 3–4; BDS payment instructions; ten equal principal instalments from 31 August 2024

  15. S15 CBB Review January to September 2025

    Debt and financing section; modest USD bond receipts; 2044 debenture fully subscribed by July 2025

  16. S16 Barbados 2019 exchange offering memorandum

    2029 conditions 5–7 printed pp 86–88; April and October payments; amortisation and business-day rules

  17. S17 CBB BOSS Plus II offer

    16 June 2023; maturity five years after first of purchase month; optional early redemption after 24 months

  18. S18 CBB second series of BOSS Plus bonds

    29 June 2023; CIBC BBD100m purchase and individual-investor BBD22m March 2023 snapshot

  19. S19 Approved Estimates 2025–2026

    Appendix C, statement dated 31 December 2024; PDF pp 771–781; printed p 437, PDF p 761 gives FY2023/24 actual expenditure

  20. S20 CBB Treasury Note 2027 offer

    7 April 2022; ten equal principal instalments from 6 January 2025 through 6 April 2027

  21. S21 CBB Debenture 2044 prospectus

    PDF pp 3–4; 40 equal instalments from 28 February 2035 through November 2044; conditional natural-disaster and pandemic deferment on p 4

  22. S22 Parliament Estimates index

    2026 revised draft posted 26 February 2026; 2025 approved estimates posted 18 August 2025; checked 4 October 2026

  23. S23 CBB Treasury Bills Schedule

    2025–2026 issue schedule; includes 91, 182 and 364 day bills; accessed 4 October 2026

  24. S24 CBB Annual Report 2023

    Note 7 printed p 80 and local securities printed p 99; amounts in BBD thousands

  25. S25 Domestic debt restructuring instrument schedule 2018

    Series H printed p 15; bullet structure and perpetual rolling

  26. S26 Medium Term Fiscal Framework 2025/26 to 2027/28

    Printed p 33; FY2023/24 amortisation discussion; the counterbalanced passage is in this framework, not the March 2024 MTDS

  27. S27 Approved Estimates 2023–2024

    Printed p 406, PDF p 723; programme 0116 object 854

  28. S28 Barbados IMF Fifth Review staff report CR 25/153

    June 2025, paragraph 19, printed p 17, PDF p 20; BBD245m subscriptions to BBD250m 20-year debenture largely from NISSS, and to a lesser extent private pension funds; issue in FY2024/25